Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with their Budget Deficit Forecasts

نویسندگان

  • Tilman Brück
  • Andreas Stephan
چکیده

We estimate the political economy determinants of budget deficit forecast errors. Since the adoption of the Stability Pact, Eurozone governments have manipulated forecasts before elections. The political orientation and the institutional design of governments also affects the quality of forecasts. JEL classifications: H62, H87, C23, C53, E62

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تاریخ انتشار 2005